Angels vs. Rangers: Taking the Over is the way to go

The Angels had one of the best bullpen ERAs in the big leagues the first month of the season, but since the bats have picked it up, the arms have dipped down, which has evened out what were a ton of Under games earlier this season.

The Angels played 11 of their first 14 games Under the total and since have seen 16 of their past 30 go Over. This might be the result of the team using the bullpen for more innings than any other club in MLB, even more than the Rays — who have loaded up on bullpen innings because of using “openers.”

The Angels’ bullpen may need to be used even more Sunday, because Andrew Heaney will be making his first start of the season — against the Rangers, who are averaging 6.9 runs per game during day games, the highest mark in the league.

Heaney has a 4.15 ERA and averaged six innings per start last season, but after missing the first two months, will likely be eased back into the rotation.

The Rangers counter with the worst road ERA in the big leagues at 5.44 and a bullpen ERA ranked 24th in the big leagues. They are starting Ariel Jurado, who gave up four runs in 4 ¹/₃ innings in his only other start this season, so it should lead to a high scoring affair.

The play: Rangers-Angels, Over 9 runs.

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